2025-12-01

Submit your abstract to our special session at the ECEE2026

Submit your abstract to our special session at the ECEE2026

"Next-Generation Probabilistic Seismic Hazard and Risk Assessment: Scientific Advances and Emerging Challenges (EFEHR Session)"

  • 18th European Conference on Earthquake Engineering: https://ecee2026.eu/  
  • Berlin, 14 - 18 September 2026
  • Deadline Session’s abstracts: December 7th

We are at a pivotal moment in the evolution of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard and Risk Assessment (PSHA and PSRA). While these frameworks remain foundational for estimating the physical and societal impacts of earthquakes, their future development is increasingly shaped by contemporary challenges and opportunities, including climate change, the rapid rise of artificial intelligence and data-driven modelling, enhanced computational capabilities, and the adoption of FAIR data principles.

Our special session will focus on the next generation of Pan-European seismic hazard and risk models. We aim to explore how recent scientific and technological advancements, as well as lessons learned from recent seismic events, can inform and improve future modelling efforts.

This session aims to foster interdisciplinary dialogue and collaboration across engineering, seismology, data science, and policy-making communities. We welcome both methodological innovations and applied case studies that contribute to the advancement of seismic hazard and risk modelling in Europe and beyond.

We invite contributions that address advances in PSHA and PSRA, with particular emphasis on the following topics:

  • Seismic Hazard Modelling: Innovations in ground motion modelling, including non-ergodic approaches, physics-based simulations, and novel intensity measures; Time-dependent hazard analysis incorporating temporal variations in seismicity and PSHA considering fault-segment activation.
  • Exposure Modelling: Use of remote sensing technologies, volunteered geographic information (VGI), AI and machine learning (ML) for asset classification; Dynamic modelling to forecast future exposure scenarios; Probabilistic and data-driven approaches to address uncertainties in exposure models.
  • Fragility Modelling for Regional Assessments: Analytical fragility modelling for asset portfolios; Data-driven models based on observed damage; Integration of ML and AI to improve accuracy and scalability.
  • Vulnerability Modelling: Advances in loss and consequence modelling, including downtime and business interruption; Addressing challenges in data availability and quality for data-driven vulnerability models; Application of ML and AI to enhance predictive capabilities; Modelling earthquake impacts on supply chains and critical infrastructure.
  • Multi-Hazard and Multi-Risk Considerations: Incorporation of aftershock effects into hazard and risk analyses; Modelling cascading and compound hazards and their consequences (e.g., earthquakes followed by tsunamis, liquefaction, landslide, fire, or flooding); Assessing the influence of climate change on seismic risk (e.g., accelerated deterioration due to exposure to atmospheric agents); Development of damage-dependent fragility models for multi-risk modelling purposes.
  • Treatment and Communication of Uncertainties: uncertainty propagation from source to losses; methods for modelling and propagation of uncertainties (e.g., Expert Elicitation, Logic Trees, Bayesian Networks);  validation of models used for seismic hazard and risk assessments; communication of uncertainties in hazard and risk models.
  • Stakeholder Needs: Evolving requirements from engineers, insurers, government agencies, and researchers.
  • Current Debates and Challenges: Addressing seismic risk assessment in the context of climate change; Balancing model complexity with usability and interpretability.

Submission of contribution

What you need to submit:

  • If you are interested in an oral presentation, you would need to submit a full paper. The full paper can be the length of an executive summary (three-page).
  • Submit Contribution here – select Abstract Poster or Abstract Full Paper (via Conftool)
  • Select the appropriate Topic “Special Session – XX” (choose the correct option for your special session)
  • Paper (later; length at the discretion of the session convenors; template will be available in Conftool). For this session, a  three-page paper (executive summary length would suffice).

Review & formatting

Submissions are reviewed by the special session convenors.

Co-conveners

Fatemeh Jalayer (UCL)

Antonio Correia (LNEC)

Jochen Woessner (Moody’s RMS)

Invited speaker

Fabrice Cotton (GFZ)

Helen Crowley (GEM)

Marco Stupazzini (Munich Re)

 

2025-06-26

Invitation to the EPOS Seismology & Geo-INQUIRE Workshop

Invitation to the EPOS Seismology & Geo-INQUIRE Workshop

We kindly invite you to the workshop entitled: “From Big & Novel Datasets to AI for Frontier Seismological Science and Services”.

  • Date: 24 to 27 November 2025
  • Location: Propylaea building of the National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Greece
  • Programme: Click here to check out the preliminary programme 
  • Registration: Want to join? Register here!
  • Registration deadline: 24 October or earlier if the maximum capacity of 120 attendees is reached

The workshop is co-organised by EFEHR, ORFEUS, and EMSC, with local support from the Institute of Geodynamics of the National Observatory of Athens (NOA-IG) and financial support from the EC project Geo-INQUIRE. 

Participation is free of charge. The maximum number of participants is set to 120/day, including the organisers, speakers and trainers. Travel grants will be available through Geo-INQUIRE and ORFEUS/EFEHR funds to subsidise the travel and accommodation expenses of qualified participants. Grantees will be reimbursed after the workshops. The procedure to apply for travel grants is specified in the registration form: it includes the submission of a presentation and motivation letter of max 500 words, accompanied by the email addresses of one/two referees.

Registration will close by 24 October or earlier if the maximum capacity of 120 attendees is reached. The recipients of travel grants will be informed by 22 September 2025 at the latest, thus allowing the timely purchase of plane/train tickets and booking of accommodations. All participants - including organisers, speakers, trainers, and attendees - are expected to organise their travels independently. We encourage you to take advantage of the large number of highly-ranked yet affordable hotels in Athens.

We are looking forward to receiving your registration and to meeting many of you in Athens this fall!

2025-06-05

Register now for the workshop: “Connecting with insurance and cat-modelling professionals”

Register now for the workshop: “Connecting with insurance and cat-modelling professionals”

Recognising the vital role of seismic hazard models and services in informing risk management strategies, EFEHR seeks to bridge the gap between scientific research and practical industry applications. This meeting provides a platform to exchange knowledge, identify industry-specific needs, and foster collaboration between insurance and catastrophe-modelling professionals.

The workshop aims to gather stakeholder insights to shape future hazard and risk products and promote engagement between EFEHR and industry through joint initiatives and the co-organisation of future events and workshops.

There are still places available. Are you working in insurance, CAT modelling, or science? Register by 10 June!

Workshop information

  • Venue: University College London, IOE
  • Date: 19-20 of June 2025
  • Registration deadline: 10 June register here!

Tags: Events

2025-04-14

Registration open for the GEM-EGU Summer School on GeoHazards, 8-12 September 2025

The GEM-EGU summer school gathers international experts covering the various facets of geohazards risk assessment to provide comprehensive and holistic training. It will enable you to perform earthquake scenarios using the OpenQuake-engine, considering the characteristics of recent earthquakes. During this event, you can obtain an official OpenQuake-engine (Scenarios) certification.

GEM-EGU Summer School on GeoHazards

Count me in, how do I register?

Due to the limited number of places, admission to the summer school is a two-step process. Please fill in this form by the end of April:

  1. Indicate why you would like to attend the summer school
  2. Briefly explain how you plan to apply this knowledge, tools, and models in the future

Selected candidates will be informed and asked to finalize the registration process. For additional information, please contact the coordinator of the Summer School at vitor.s[at]ua.pt.

 

This summer school is organized as part of a joint effort with the University of Aveiro, the Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation, and the European Geosciences Union (EGU), with support from European Facilities for Earthquake Hazard and Risk (EFEHR).

Tags: Events

2025-02-25

IAGA-IASPEI 2025: Submit your abstract now!

IAGA-IASPEI 2025: Submit your abstract now!

This year, the IAGA-IASPEI Joint Scientific Meeting will take place in Lisbon from 31 August to 2 September, featuring an exciting programme of scientific sessions, early career scientist schools, and social events.

Join EFEHR's session

EFEHR will be part of the meeting, hosting session S15 "Earthquakes in low strain regions: Challenges, Advances and Opportunities – From field studies to seismic hazard assessment”. The session is convened by Susana Custódio (Portugal), Laurentiu Danciu (Switzerland), Beau Whitney (France), Andrea Walpersdorf (France) and Michele Carafa (Italy). Abstracts must be submitted via the online submission system by 12 March 2025, 23:59 Pacific Time.

Session description

Wide regions of distributed tectonic deformation are observed in the Earth, where fault slip rates are low. Intraplate earthquakes illustrate active yet low strain processes typical of deformation within the interior of plates. Earthquakes in these regions can reach large magnitudes and can, due to the crustal characteristics of these settings and lower preparedness, become disproportionately damaging compared to similar magnitude events along plate boundaries. Our understanding of earthquake processes in these regions is slowly maturing, however, quantifying the seismic hazard in these regions remains challenging.

The significant increase in seismological, paleoseismological, geological, and geodetic data collected in recent years has yielded high-quality data sets on earthquake hypocentral locations, focal mechanisms, fault slip rates, Earth structure, crustal stress patterns, and GNSS surface deformation. Collectively, these data are beginning to provide insights to better understand earthquake processes in low strain regions. Ongoing research in these regions are still grappling with fundamental questions that directly feed into the development of seismic hazard models and their societal applications. How can we identify “active” faults in regions of broad distributed deformation? How can we relate the characteristics of fault networks to earthquake potential, frequency distribution, and subsequently to seismic hazard? What is the role of fault interaction in long-term seismicity forecasts? How can the time-space variability of earthquakes in these regions be modeled? How can we integrate GNSS, seismic and geological data in physics-based models for future seismic hazard assessment?

In this session we welcome contributions that improve our understanding of seismogenesis and seismic hazard in regions of distributed low-strain deformation. We welcome theoretical, observational, and numerical contributions from a broad range of disciplines, including field geology, structural geology, seismology, paleoseismology, geodesy, rheology, crustal stress, geodynamics, modelling and seismic hazard assessment. We also encourage studies that use advanced technologies, such as machine learning, high-performance computing, and novel datasets and processing techniques, to address these complex issues.

More information

Abstract submission & key dates

Session descriptions

2024-12-09

Apply now for Geo-INQUIRE's Transnational Access “Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis”

Apply now for Geo-INQUIRE's Transnational Access “Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis”

The 3rd Geo-INQUIRE Transnational Access Call to European research infrastructures is open. EFEHR participates again in this initiative and offers access to the expertise and state-of-the-art facilities at ETH Zurich. EFEHR provides remote and in-person access for training and research on regional or national seismic hazard models, utilizing the advanced “EF-PSHA - Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (TA2-542-1)” installation. The EFEHR infrastructure supports advanced hazard and risk computations, sensitivity analyses, and uncertainty quantifications, along with guidance on using and tailoring seismic hazard models.

You can benefit from:

  • Training and support for the definition of the scientific problem, and implementation of the computational workflow, run of data analysis, dissemination of products.
  • Physical access (up to 2 weeks) to ETH Zurich (Switzerland).
  • Possibility to access and/or uptake of the simulation results on the Simulation Data Lake at CINECA
  • Travel and subsistence costs covered by TA grants (~ 3500 Euro)

Submit your application now by February 28, 2025, via the Geo-INQUIRE TA portal. Don’t miss this opportunity to collaborate with leading experts in seismic hazard and risk assessment!

For details and to apply, visit: https://www.geo-inquire.eu/transnational-access-offer/ta2-542-1

2024-12-03

All about multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment for geohazards: EFEHR Scientific Session 2024 in Luxembourg

All about multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment for geohazards: EFEHR Scientific Session 2024 in Luxembourg

Risk assessment bridges the geo-hazards to their societal impacts. As such, it constitutes the most outward-facing component in the chain. This process begins with data collection and modelling the phenomena, advancing towards an understanding of their consequences. This is where models meet reality – a reality that is invariably complex and shaped by multi-hazard and multi-risk dynamics.

While significant steps have been made in understanding single hazards and their immediate effects over recent decades, much remains to be explored about the complex interactions between hazards and their societal impacts. These are scenarios where the whole exceeds the sum of its parts, and straightforward cause-and-effect relationships are challenging to define.

The 102nd Journées Luxembourgeoises de Géodynamique (JLG) and the EFEHR Scientific Session 2024 tackled these critical issues by dedicating three intensive days to the theme of multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment for geohazards. Participants from research, industry, and policymaking explored the challenges from diverse perspectives, facilitating cross-disciplinary dialogue and collaboration.

Key topics included the integration of machine learning and AI, cross-border risk management, effective risk communication strategies, and practical insights from industry and international organisations. This exchange underscored the importance of learning from one another to advance knowledge and practices in understanding and mitigating complex geohazards.

Tags: EFEHR, Events

2024-09-05

Workshop: Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning for Geosciences

Workshop: Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning for Geosciences

ChEESE CoE organises an in-person workshop in Barcelona! From November 5 to 7, 2024, geoscientists will have the opportunity to dive into the world of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) through hands-on training.

Participants will learn about various AI algorithms and work with real datasets using cutting-edge tools. The workshop is free of charge, but spots are limited to 24 participants. Expert-led sessions will guide you on how to apply AI techniques to your research.

Workshop details

  • Title: Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning for Geosciences
  • Dates: November 5-7, 2024
  • Location: Delegació CSIC Catalunya, Carrer de les Egipcíaques, 15, Ciutat Vella, Barcelona
  • Registration: click here

This course will introduce fundamental AI tools, from linear regression to deep neural networks. Participants will engage in hands-on tutorials covering the machine-learning process, including training, testing, and generalization.

Tags: Events, News

2024-06-21

EFEHR at the World Conference on Earthquake Engineering

The 18th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering (WCEE) takes place from June 30 to July 5 in Milan. Together with the Geo-INQUIRE project and the ERIES Project, EFEHR hosts a booth (B13) where you have the possibility to meet and talk to representatives of the EFEHR Executive Committee and EFEHR members. Come visit us for a coffee and chat! Another highlight is the EFEHR technical session on "New Data and Cutting-Edge Technologies for Seismic Hazard Assessment and Risk Mitigation" (SHR16/19). These sessions will be convened by Laurentiu Danciu, Helen Crowley, Olga-Joan Ktenidou, Céline Beauval, António A. Correia, and Päivi Mäntyniemi.

SHR16/19 - NEW DATA AND CUTTING-EDGE TECHNOLOGIES FOR SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT AND RISK MITIGATION

Plenary stage presentations:

  • WEDNESDAY, 14:30 | AMBER 5
  • THURSDAY, 14:30 | AMBER 4

Monitor presentations:

  • THURSDAY, 10:30 | MONITOR 25 + 26

More information

Detailed session programme SHR16/19

World Conference on Earthquake Engineering

 

Tags: EFEHR, Events, News

2024-02-08

Abstract submission open for EFEHR’s ESC session

Abstract submission open for EFEHR’s ESC session

In September, about 700 early-career and senior researchers from more than 60 countries from Europe and all around the world will meet at ESC2024 in Corfu to discuss different modern fields of seismology and related applications. EFEHR will also take part in this conference and will host a session, highlighting innovative developments in seismic hazard and risk modelling across Europe: "Innovating and integrating: Bringing new science into Earthquake Hazard and Risk Assessment for Europe”. The past decade has witnessed a leap forward in the development of earthquake hazard and risk models. Looking to the future, we can see the emergence of new technologies and scientific innovations that have the potential to address the challenges in the characterization of earthquakes and their impacts on society. 

The focus of EFEHR's session is therefore on how we can integrate emerging science and technologies into future generations of models to serve a wide range of applications. Submissions on a diverse range of topics are welcome:

  • State-of-the-art earthquake hazard, vulnerability, exposure, and risk models in Europe;
  • Capitalising on new datasets and advanced technologies including remote sensing, geodesy, crowd-sourced data, machine learning, and distributed acoustic sensing;
  • Physics-based simulations of the earthquake rupture and strong ground shaking;
  • Time-dependent hazard and risk analysis;
  • Multi-hazard modelling integrating earthquake-induced events such as subaerial and submarine landslides, tsunamis, liquefaction, and co-seismic displacements;
  • Novel methods for quantification, propagation, and reduction of uncertainties, and for validation and verification of models against data;
  • Societal impact and applications in industry, including seismic design, catastrophe modelling, impact forecasting, and risk assessment

Deadline abstract submission: 12 April 2024

More information

Tags: EFEHR, News

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